Manager, Forecasting

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Job Description

The Future Begins Here

At Takeda we are leading digital evolution and global transformation. By building innovative solutions and future-ready capabilities we are meeting the need of patients our people and the planet.

Bengaluru the city which is Indias epicenter of Innovation has been selected to be home to Takedas recently launched Innovation Capability Center. We invite you to join our digital transformation this role you will have the opportunity to boost your skills and become the heart of an innovative engine that is contributing to global impact and improvement.

At Takedas ICC we Unite in Diversity

Takeda is committed to creating an inclusive and collaborative workplace where individuals are recognized for their backgrounds and abilities they bring to our company. We are continuously improving our collaborators journey in Takeda and we welcome applications from all qualified candidates. Here you will feel welcomed respected and valued as an important contributor to our diverse team

OBJECTIVES / PURPOSE

We are seeking a dynamic Manager to join Takedas GCC Commercial Analytics & Insights (CA&I) organization in India as part of the Forecasting capability supporting International Business Units (IBU). This first people leadership role combines hands-on forecasting expertise with team management stakeholder partnership and operational accountability for forecasting workstreams that support brand planning launch readiness scenario planning S&OP and long-range planning across Ex-US markets. The Manager is accountable for the quality timeliness and business relevance of forecasting deliverables produced by their pod.

ACCOUNTABILITIES

Forecast Delivery and Quality Ownership

• Oversee end-to-end delivery of assigned forecasting deliverables including short-term and long-term demand forecasts in-line and launch forecasts patient-based and demand-based models scenario and sensitivity analyses assumption updates and forecast accuracy reporting across IBU markets.
• Define forecasting approaches for complex planning questions by translating stakeholder asks into scoped workplans and assigning tasks based on skill priority and capacity.
• Review forecast models assumptions outputs dashboards and presentation materials for analytical rigor internal consistency narrative quality and stakeholder readiness before distribution to affiliate and global stakeholders.
• Conduct and oversee analyses of commercial performance patient dynamics market events epidemiology inputs payer dynamics and competitive trends across EU Asia and LatAm to inform forecasting assumptions and scenarios.

Stakeholder Management and Ways of Working

• Serve as the primary GCC point of contact for assigned EU Asian and LatAm affiliates and Global IBU stakeholders clarifying requirements setting delivery commitments communicating risks and ensuring alignment to brand planning S&OP and long-range planning cycles.
• Represent the GCC Forecasting pod in brand planning forecast review S&OP LRP and cross-functional forums with commercial analytics finance marketing market access and global partners.
• Establish efficient ways of working between the GCC pod and IBU affiliate teams including intake routines version control assumption documentation forecast calendar management and quality review expectations across multiple geographies and time zones.

People Leadership and Team Development

• Directly manage 24 Analysts and Senior Analysts across forecasting sub-capabilities setting clear goals conducting regular one-on-ones providing performance feedback and building individualized development plans.
• Build forecasting capabilities within the team through coaching on model design methodology selection assumption management scenario planning forecast accuracy measurement and business storytelling.
• Foster a high-engagement team environment defined by ownership intellectual curiosity cross-functional collaboration and a continuous improvement mindset.
• Contribute to talent acquisition and onboarding for the GCC IBU analytics team helping establish consistent expectations and development pathways for forecasting talent.

Process Improvement and Operational Excellence

• Lead automation and efficiency initiatives across recurring forecasting workflows applying AI and GenAI tools to accelerate assumption research deviation reasoning narrative generation and model documentation and championing modern data engineering practices across the pod.
• Review and rationalize the forecast reporting and model asset portfolio on a regular basis identifying opportunities to standardize automate or enhance deliverables as IBU priorities evolve.

KNOWLEDGE SKILLS & EXPERIENCE

Education:

• Bachelors Degree required in Statistics Economics Data Science Life Sciences Computer Science Engineering or a related quantitative field.
• Advanced degree (Masters or MBA) in Analytics Economics Data Science Business or a related quantitative field is strongly preferred.
• Relevant certifications in forecasting analytics cloud platforms or project management are a plus.

Experience:

• 67 years of progressive experience in pharmaceutical forecasting commercial analytics or related quantitative areas with early people or project leadership experience.
• Hands-on forecasting experience across multiple forecast types short-term and long-term in-line and launch patient-based and demand-based including scenario planning and forecast accuracy measurement.
• Mandatory experience supporting EU markets (e.g. EU4 UK Nordics or other European affiliates); exposure to Asian and Latin American markets is a strong plus.
• Deep knowledge of pharmaceutical forecasting methods demand drivers patient flow approaches launch planning scenario planning assumption management and forecast accuracy measurement in Ex-US environments.
• Working knowledge of pharma data assets such as IQVIA MIDAS local audit data prescription and claims data and epidemiology sources for Ex-US markets.
• Familiarity with statistical and machine learning forecasting techniques including time-series methods (ARIMA exponential smoothing regression Prophet) and patient-based modeling sufficient to direct methodology selection review model outputs and identify technical risks across the teams work.
• Proficiency in coding techniques such as SAS R or Python for data manipulation analysis and workflow automation; advanced Excel skills required.
• Experience with agile business planning tools (e.g. Anaplan SAP IBP) for forecasting and planning is a strong plus.
• Strong experience with Tableau or Power BI for forecast tracking scenario reporting and commercial performance dashboard development.

Skills & Competencies:

• People Leadership Motivates develops and retains a team of analysts; sets clear direction provides growth-oriented feedback and holds the team to high delivery standards.
• Forecasting Project Management Manages multiple forecast cycles and scenarios with rigorous prioritization quality control version discipline and timeline adherence.
• Pharmaceutical Forecasting Expertise Deep proficiency in demand forecasting scenario planning assumption management forecast models and accuracy measurement for commercial decisions in Ex-US markets.
• Forecasting Methodology Breadth Selects and applies patient-based demand-based and hybrid forecast approaches based on the business question data availability and lifecycle stage across IBU markets.
• Stakeholder Partnership Builds trusted productive relationships with EU Asia LatAm and Global commercial analytics finance marketing market access and portfolio planning partners across multiple affiliates.
• Data Storytelling Distills forecast outputs assumptions risks and scenarios into clear narratives with practical business implications and decision points.
• Operational Excellence Identifies and implements opportunities to automate standardize and scale forecasting workflows using modern tools and engineering practices.
• Cross-Cultural Communication Fluent communicator across India-EU-Asia-LatAm time zones and organizational levels; adapts style effectively for technical and commercial audiences.

TAKEDA LEADERSHIP BEHAVIORS

In alignment with Takedas Values-Based Culture this role requires demonstration of the following leadership behaviors:

• Act with Integrity Deliver accurate transparent work and take full responsibility for quality.
• Collaborate Cross-Functionally Contribute positively to GCC-IBU team workflows and cross-functional collaboration.
• Drive Accountability Take ownership of all assigned tasks and deliver on commitments.
• Embrace Learning Continuously build analytical and domain capabilities through feedback and self-driven development.

BENEFITS:

It is our priority to provide competitive compensation and a benefit package that bridges your personal life with your professional career. Amongst our benefits are:

• Competitive Salary Performance Annual Bonus
• Flexible work environment including hybrid working
• Comprehensive Healthcare Insurance Plans for self spouse and children
• Group Term Life Insurance and Group Accident Insurance programs
• Employee Assistance Program
• Broad Variety of learning platforms
• Diversity Equity and Inclusion Programs
• Reimbursements Home Internet & Mobile Phone
• Employee Referral Program
• Leaves Paternity Leave (4 Weeks) Maternity Leave (up to 26 weeks) Bereavement Leave (5 calendar days)

ABOUT ICC IN TAKEDA:

• Takeda is leading a digital revolution. Were not just transforming our company; were improving the lives of millions of patients who rely on our medicines every day.
• As an organization we are committed to our cloud-driven business transformation and believe the ICCs are the catalysts of change for our global organization.

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