Senior Director, Global Forecasting, Obesity
Thousand Oaks, CA - USA
Job Summary
Career Category
Sales & Marketing OperationsJob Description
Join Amgens Mission of Serving Patients
At Amgen if you feel like youre part of something bigger its because you are. Our shared missionto serve patients living with serious illnessesdrives all that we do.
Since 1980 weve helped pioneer the world of biotech in our fight against the worlds toughest diseases. With our focus on four therapeutic areas Oncology Inflammation General Medicine and Rare Disease we reach millions of patients each year. Amgen is advancing a broad and deep pipeline of medicines to treat cancer heart disease inflammatory conditions rare diseases and obesity and obesity-related conditions. As a member of the Amgen team youll help make a lasting impact on the lives of patients as we research manufacture and deliver innovative medicines to help people live longer fuller happier lives.
Our award-winning culture is collaborative innovative and science based. If you have a passion for challenges and the opportunities that lay within them youll thrive as part of the Amgen team. Join us and transform the lives of patients while transforming your career.
Senior Director Global Forecasting Obesity
What you will do
Lets do this. Lets change the world. Amgen is committed to transforming the lives of patients by advancing science delivering innovative medicines and creating sustainable value for healthcare systems worldwide. Obesity represents one of the most pressing global health challenges of our time with rapidly evolving science treatment paradigms competitive dynamics access considerations and patient needs shaping the future of care.
To support this important therapeutic area we are seeking a Senior Director Global Forecasting Obesity to lead forecasting strategy and execution for Amgens global obesity portfolio. This leader will be responsible for developing robust evidence-based forecasts that inform portfolio strategy investment decisions launch planning lifecycle management resource allocation and long-range business planning.
The Senior Director will partner closely with Global Commercial U.S. Commercial Regional Commercial Finance Medical Market Access R&D Business Development Market Research Analytics and Competitive Intelligence teams to ensure forecasts reflect aligned assumptions rigorous methodology and a forward-looking view of market evolution. The role requires a strategic forecasting leader who can operate in ambiguity influence senior stakeholders build organizational confidence in forecast outputs and translate complex market dynamics into clear business implications.
This role requires at least 3 days on campus in Thousand Oaks CA.
Global Forecasting Leadership
- Lead global forecasting for Amgens obesity portfolio including pipeline assets launch brands lifecycle opportunities and long-range therapeutic area planning.
- Develop and maintain short-term mid-term and long-range forecasts that support strategic planning investment decisions portfolio prioritization and performance expectations.
- Establish clear forecasting frameworks methodologies governance and assumptions across global regional and U.S. stakeholders.
- Translate forecast outputs into actionable strategic recommendations for senior leadership.
- Serve as a trusted forecasting advisor to Global Commercial Finance R&D Medical Market Access and regional leadership teams.
- Ensure forecasts are credible transparent and grounded in robust data business logic and cross-functional alignment.
Obesity Market and Portfolio Forecasting
- Build forecasts that reflect the complexity of the global obesity market including treatment adoption patient flow diagnosis and treatment rates payer dynamics adherence persistence capacity constraints competitor entry and evolving standards of care.
- Incorporate global and local market dynamics including epidemiology pricing and reimbursement access restrictions regional launch sequencing promotional investment and healthcare system differences.
- Evaluate key forecast drivers such as patient segmentation demand generation product profile differentiation market expansion switching discontinuation and competitive response.
- Develop scenarios to assess upside and downside risks across major markets and regions.
- Partner with cross-functional teams to assess commercial implications of clinical data label scenarios indication expansion device or formulation changes and lifecycle opportunities.
- Support business development licensing and external innovation assessments as needed through objective commercial forecasting.
Strategic Planning and Decision Support
- Ensure forecasts directly inform global brand strategy launch planning annual operating plans long-range planning portfolio reviews and investment trade-off decisions.
- Partner with Finance to align forecast outputs with financial planning cycles revenue expectations and business performance management.
- Collaborate with Market Access and Pricing teams to reflect reimbursement scenarios access timing net price assumptions payer restrictions and affordability considerations.
- Partner with Market Research Analytics and Competitive Intelligence to ensure forecasts are informed by the best available evidence and updated as new insights emerge.
- Develop clear narratives that explain forecast movement key assumptions risks sensitivities and strategic implications.
- Prepare executive-ready materials for senior leadership discussions governance forums portfolio reviews and business planning meetings.
Forecast Governance and Excellence
- Lead cross-functional forecast alignment processes across global regional and U.S. teams.
- Ensure seamless forecast transitions from global strategy to regional and U.S. execution with consistent assumptions transparent methodology and clear ownership.
- Drive forecast quality through disciplined model design assumption documentation sensitivity analysis version control and governance.
- Establish best practices for obesity forecasting including launch curve development analog selection patient-based modeling scenario planning and competitive event modeling.
- Identify opportunities to enhance forecasting capabilities through advanced analytics automation real-world evidence and improved data integration.
- Maintain a clear view of forecast risks and opportunities proactively advising leadership on changes in market outlook.
Cross-Functional and Global Collaboration
- Partner with Global General Managers regional commercial leaders U.S. leadership Finance R&D Medical Market Access Supply Manufacturing and Strategy teams to align around forecast assumptions and business implications.
- Influence senior stakeholders in a highly matrixed global organization.
- Facilitate productive debate around key assumptions while driving alignment and decision-making.
- Ensure global forecasts reflect local market realities while maintaining enterprise-level consistency.
- Build strong relationships across functions to ensure forecasting is embedded into strategic decision-making not treated as a standalone exercise.
People Leadership
- Lead develop and mentor forecasting talent supporting the obesity portfolio.
- Foster a culture of analytical rigor transparency accountability curiosity and business partnership.
- Champion diversity equity and inclusion within the team and across forecasting processes.
- Build forecasting capability across the organization by coaching teams on methodology assumptions scenario planning and interpretation of forecast outputs.
- Encourage innovation while maintaining disciplined forecasting standards.
What we expect of you
We are all different yet we all use our unique contributions to serve patients. The professional we seek is a collaborative leader with these qualifications.
Basic Qualifications:
Doctorate degree and 5 years of experience in forecasting analytics market insights finance strategy or commercial planning
OR
Masters degree and 9 years of experience in forecasting analytics market insights finance strategy or commercial planning
OR
Bachelors degree and 11 years of experience in forecasting analytics market insights finance strategy or commercial planning
In addition to meeting at least one of the above requirements you must have at least 5 years experience directly managing people and/or leadership experience leading teams projects programs or directing the allocation or resources. Your managerial experience may run concurrently with the required technical experience referenced above
Preferred Qualifications:
- Deep biopharmaceutical forecasting expertise ideally with experience in obesity metabolic disease diabetes cardiovascular disease or other large primary care or specialty markets.
- Strong understanding of global pharmaceutical markets including launch dynamics pricing and reimbursement market access regional variation and competitive strategy.
- Experience developing patient-based forecasts epidemiology-driven models analog-based launch forecasts scenario analyses and long-range portfolio forecasts.
- Ability to integrate inputs from market research secondary analytics competitive intelligence clinical development medical access and finance into cohesive forecast recommendations.
- Strong executive communication skills with the ability to distill complex models and assumptions into clear strategic narratives.
- Proven ability to challenge assumptions constructively manage ambiguity and make sound recommendations with incomplete information.
- Experience supporting major investment decisions launch planning lifecycle planning business development assessments or portfolio prioritization.
- Strong business acumen and ability to connect forecast implications to strategy resource allocation and enterprise value.
- High adaptability and comfort operating in a fast-moving therapeutic area with rapidly evolving competitive dynamics.
What you can expect of us
As we work to develop treatments that take care of others we also work to care for your professional and personal growth and well-being. From our competitive benefits to our collaborative culture well support your journey every step of the way.
The expected annual salary range for this role in the U.S. (excluding Puerto Rico) is posted. Actual salary will vary based on several factors including but not limited to relevant skills experience and qualifications.
In addition to the base salary Amgen offers a Total Rewards Plan based on eligibility comprising of health and welfare plans for staff and eligible dependents financial plans with opportunities to save towards retirement or other goals work/life balance and career development opportunities that may include:
- A comprehensive employee benefits package including a Retirement and Savings Plan with generous company contributions group medical dental and vision coverage life and disability insurance and flexible spending accounts
- A discretionary annual bonus program or for field sales representatives a sales-based incentive plan
- Stock-based long-term incentives
- Award-winning time-off plans
- Flexible work models where possible. Refer to the Work Location Type in the job posting to see if this applies.
Apply now and make a lasting impact with the Amgen team.
In any materials you submit you may redact or remove age-identifying information such as age date of birth or dates of school attendance or graduation. You will not be penalized for redacting or removing this information.
Application deadline
Amgen does not have an application deadline for this position; we will continue accepting applications until we receive a sufficient number or select a candidate for the position.
Sponsorship
Sponsorship for this role is not guaranteed.
As an organization dedicated to improving the quality of life for people around the world Amgen fosters an inclusive environment of diverse ethical committed and highly accomplished people who respect each other and live the Amgen values to continue advancing science to serve patients. Together we compete in the fight against serious disease.
Amgen is an Equal Opportunity employer and will consider all qualified applicants for employment without regard to race color religion sex sexual orientation gender identity national origin protected veteran status disability status or any other basis protected by applicable law.
We will ensure that individuals with disabilities are provided reasonable accommodation to participate in the job application or interview process to perform essential job functions and to receive other benefits and privileges of employment. Please contact us to request accommodation.
.Salary Range
216632.70USD -293091.30USDRequired Experience:
Exec
About Company
Amgen, a biotechnology pioneer, discovers, develops and delivers innovative human therapeutics. Our medicines have helped millions of patients in the fight against cancer, kidney disease, rheumatoid arthritis and other serious illnesses. As an organization dedicated to improving the ... View more