Short-Term Consultant – Economic Impact Analysis of Supply Chain Strengthening Initiatives

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PATH is a global nonprofit dedicated to achieving health equity. With more than 40 years of experience forging multisector partnerships and with expertise in science economics technology advocacy and dozens of other specialties PATH develops and scales up innovative solutions to the worlds most pressing heath challenges.

In India PATH outlines its goal of providing all Indians with equitable access to high-quality primary healthcare for the most common communicable non-communicable and occupational diseases as well as for reproductive maternal child and adolescent health issues. To make long-lasting changes to health systems PATH collaborates with the governments of numerous states non-profits the commercial sector regulatory agencies and international organizations.

Duration: 20 working days over 2 months
Location: Remote (Field visits as required)
Type of Engagement: Consultancy Contract

About the Project

PATH in collaboration with the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare (MoHFW) is implementing a project to strengthen supply chain management across five states. The project drives the digitization of supply chain processes enhances the functionality and reach of the Logistics Management Information System (LMIS) and develops interactive dashboards. Additionally it supports innovative last-mile delivery solutions optimizes drug warehouse operations and builds the capacity of the health workforce in supply chain management aiming to establish a sustainable and resilient supply chain system.

About the Consultant Role

The Consultant will serve as an external expert responsible for conducting economic impact modelling of the supply chain strengthening interventions implemented by PATH across five states. The Consultant will work closely with the PATH national project team to generate robust economic evidence on the impact of these interventions.

This analysis will quantify efficiency gains financial implications and potential cost savings resulting from improvements in procurement forecasting warehousing transportation and last-mile delivery operations. The Consultant will also support the broader economic analysis of public health supply chain strengthening by developing appropriate modelling tools consolidating relevant data and generating evidence on the financial and operational impacts across key supply chain functions.

Scope of Work

The Consultant will be responsible for conducting a comprehensive economic impact modelling exercise to assess the financial and operational benefits of supply chain strengthening interventions implemented in five states; Bihar Chhattisgarh Jammu & Kashmir Madhya Pradesh and Sikkim.

The scope of work will include the following key tasks:

1. Review and Inception

• Conduct a desk review of project documents reports and existing assessments related to supply chain strengthening interventions.
• Hold inception meetings with PATHs national project team and state teams to understand intervention components data availability and analytical expectations.
• Develop an inception report outlining methodology analytical framework data needs and timelines.

2. Framework tools development and data collection

• Design an economic modelling framework and tools to quantify the financial and operational impact of supply chain improvements.
• Identify and collate data sources from multiple levels (state district and facility) including cost efficiency throughput and service delivery indicators.
• Work with state and national project teams to validate data inputs and address data gaps.

3. Economic Modelling and Analysis

• Develop a cost-benefit / cost-effectiveness model to estimate the economic gains attributable to supply chain strengthening interventions.
• Analyze the efficiency improvements across key supply chain functions eg- procurement quality assurance warehousing distribution logistics management information system and last-mile delivery.
• Financial impact from reduced stock-outs or wastage increased vehicle and distribution efficiencies improved supply chain processes etc.
• Estimate financial savings operational efficiencies and potential returns on investment.
• Conduct sensitivity analysis to test the robustness of findings under various assumptions.

4. Reporting and Dissemination

• Prepare a draft report summarizing methodology data sources assumptions analytical findings and key conclusions.
• Incorporate feedback from PATH and relevant stakeholders.
• Develop a final detailed report highlighting the economic and policy implications of the findings and recommendations.
• Prepare a high-level PowerPoint presentation for stakeholders
• Development of paper articles and policy guidance documents as required.
• Conduct one virtual dissemination session

DeliverableTimelines

• Inception report & analytical framework - Week 1
• Data collection templates & economic modelling tool - Week 2
• Data consolidation report - Week 4
• Draft economic impact analysis report - Week 5-6
• Final economic impact modelling report - Week 7
• Final presentation & Dissemination Materials (paper article case study) - Week 8

Qualifications

• Masters degree in economics Health Economics Public Health Statistics Finance or related field
• 710 years of experience in economic and impact modelling or cost-effectiveness studies
• Demonstrated work in public health or supply-chain costing preferred
• Advanced proficiency in Excel R Stata Power BI or equivalent
• Strong analytical and report writing skills
• Prior experience working with government or donor-funded health programs is an advantage.

Reporting

• The consultant will report to the Project Lead PATH.
• Regular check-in meetings will be held to review progress.
• All working files models datasets and outputs remain the property of PATH.

Travel and Reimbursement

• Travel will be undertaken based on the requirement for site visits or validation.
• All travel and accommodation will be reimbursed as per the PATH travel policy.
• No travel may be undertaken without prior written approval.