Senior Analyst, Forecasting

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Job Description

The Future Begins Here

At Takeda we are leading digital evolution and global transformation. By building innovative solutions and future-ready capabilities we are meeting the need of patients our people and the planet.

Bengaluru the city which is Indias epicenter of Innovation has been selected to be home to Takedas recently launched Innovation Capability Center. We invite you to join our digital transformation this role you will have the opportunity to boost your skills and become the heart of an innovative engine that is contributing to global impact and improvement.

At Takedas ICC we Unite in Diversity

Takeda is committed to creating an inclusive and collaborative workplace where individuals are recognized for their backgrounds and abilities they bring to our company. We are continuously improving our collaborators journey in Takeda and we welcome applications from all qualified candidates. Here you will feel welcomed respected and valued as an important contributor to our diverse team

OBJECTIVES / PURPOSE

We are seeking a forecasting-oriented Senior Analyst to join Takedas GCC Commercial Analytics & Insights (CA&I) organization in India as part of the Forecasting capability supporting International Business Units (IBU). This individual contributor role is responsible for building maintaining and evolving multiple forecast types across Ex-US markets including short-term in-market demand forecasts long-term strategic forecasts patient-based epidemiology forecasts and launch and event scenarios in partnership with affiliate forecasting leads. The Senior Analyst is accountable for forecast model integrity assumption discipline and the business relevance of outputs delivered into brand planning S&OP and portfolio cycles.

ACCOUNTABILITIES

Forecast Model Development and Delivery

• Build and maintain a portfolio of forecasts across multiple IBU markets and brands spanning short-term tactical forecasts (2436 months) long-term strategic forecasts (10 years) in-line product forecasts and pre-launch and launch forecasts.
• Apply the appropriate forecast methodology to each business question including patient-based (epidemiology prevalence incidence treatment flow persistence compliance share) approaches demand-based (trend time-series curve fitting regression exponential smoothing) approaches and hybrid models that integrate both.
• Conduct scenario and sensitivity analyses for market events competitive entries LOEs pricing changes indication expansions and access scenarios across IBU geographies.
• Maintain rigorous assumption documentation version control and audit trails for every forecast cycle supporting reproducibility and review by affiliate and global stakeholders.
• Track forecast accuracy across cycles perform variance analyses against actuals and translate learnings into improved drivers and assumptions for the next cycle.

Data Methodology and Tooling

• Work with IQVIA MIDAS local audit data syndicated subnational data claims prescription data and epidemiology sources to build robust market and patient views across Ex-US geographies.
• Apply statistical and machine learning techniques where appropriate including ARIMA exponential smoothing regression (single and multivariate) Prophet and other time-series methods to enhance forecast accuracy for in-market brands.
• Build forecast outputs and tracking dashboards in Tableau or Power BI; structure model files in Excel and where applicable in Python or R for automation and reproducibility.

Stakeholder Partnership and Communication

• Partner with affiliate forecasting leads brand teams finance and global IBU stakeholders to clarify intake align on methodology and walk through outputs assumptions risks and scenarios.
• Translate model outputs into clear narratives decision-grade slides and assumption summaries tailored to commercial finance and senior leadership audiences.
• Represent the GCC forecasting pod in cross-functional working sessions for brand planning S&OP LRP and ad-hoc strategic questions.

Process Improvement and Operational Excellence

• Identify opportunities to automate recurring forecast updates standardize templates across markets and brands and build reusable assumption libraries that improve speed and consistency.
• Contribute to building capability within the GCC pod including knowledge sharing documentation of best practices and onboarding support for new analysts.
• Leverage AI and GenAI tools to accelerate data preparation assumption research deviation reasoning and narrative generation within forecasting workflows.

KNOWLEDGE SKILLS & EXPERIENCE

Education:

• Bachelors Degree required in Statistics Economics Data Science Life Sciences Computer Science Engineering or a related quantitative field.
• Advanced degree (Masters or MBA) in Analytics Economics Data Science Business or a related quantitative field is strongly preferred.
• Relevant certifications in forecasting analytics cloud platforms or statistical methods are a plus.

Experience:

• 45 years of progressive experience in pharmaceutical forecasting commercial analytics healthcare analytics or related quantitative areas.
• Hands-on experience building and maintaining multiple forecast types short-term and long-term in-line and launch patient-based and demand-based across more than one market.
• Experience supporting Ex-US markets is required particularly EU markets; exposure to Asian or Latin American markets is a strong plus.
• Working knowledge of pharma data assets such as IQVIA MIDAS local audit data prescription and claims data and epidemiology sources for Ex-US markets.
• Proficiency in advanced Excel for forecast model construction; working knowledge of Python R or SAS for data preparation time-series analysis and automation.
• Strong experience with Tableau or Power BI for forecast tracking scenario reporting and commercial performance dashboard development.
• Familiarity with cloud analytics environments (Databricks AWS Azure) and forecasting platforms (e.g. Anaplan JD SAP IBP) is a plus.
• Demonstrated ability to manage multiple forecast cycles simultaneously in a fast-paced cross-cultural matrixed environment.

Skills & Competencies:

• Forecasting Methodology Breadth Comfortable selecting and applying patient-based demand-based and hybrid forecast approaches based on the business question and data context.
• Pharmaceutical Domain Knowledge Understands demand drivers patient flow market events lifecycle stages and competitive dynamics across therapy areas and Ex-US markets.
• Analytical Rigor Applies disciplined assumption management sensitivity analysis and accuracy tracking to every forecast deliverable.
• Stakeholder Partnership Builds trusted working relationships with affiliate forecasting leads brand teams finance and global partners across multiple time zones.
• Data Storytelling Distills forecast outputs assumptions risks and scenarios into clear narratives with practical business implications and decision points.
• Operational Excellence Identifies and implements opportunities to automate standardize and scale forecasting workflows using modern tools and engineering practices.
• Cross-Cultural Communication Fluent communicator across India-EU-Asia-LatAm time zones; adapts style effectively for technical and commercial audiences.

TAKEDA LEADERSHIP BEHAVIORS

In alignment with Takedas Values-Based Culture this role requires demonstration of the following leadership behaviors:

• Act with Integrity Deliver accurate transparent work and take full responsibility for quality.
• Collaborate Cross-Functionally Contribute positively to GCC-IBU team workflows and cross-functional collaboration.
• Drive Accountability Take ownership of all assigned tasks and deliver on commitments.
• Embrace Learning Continuously build analytical and domain capabilities through feedback and self-driven development.

BENEFITS:

It is our priority to provide competitive compensation and a benefit package that bridges your personal life with your professional career. Amongst our benefits are:

• Competitive Salary Performance Annual Bonus
• Flexible work environment including hybrid working
• Comprehensive Healthcare Insurance Plans for self spouse and children
• Group Term Life Insurance and Group Accident Insurance programs
• Employee Assistance Program
• Broad Variety of learning platforms
• Diversity Equity and Inclusion Programs
• Reimbursements Home Internet & Mobile Phone
• Employee Referral Program
• Leaves Paternity Leave (4 Weeks) Maternity Leave (up to 26 weeks) Bereavement Leave (5 calendar days)

ABOUT ICC IN TAKEDA:

• Takeda is leading a digital revolution. Were not just transforming our company; were improving the lives of millions of patients who rely on our medicines every day.
• As an organization we are committed to our cloud-driven business transformation and believe the ICCs are the catalysts of change for our global organization.

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