Senior Predictive Liability Analytics Lead

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profile Job Location:

Woodland Hills, CA - USA

profile Monthly Salary: $ 190000 - 210000
Posted on: 8 hours ago
Vacancies: 1 Vacancy

Job Summary

Who We Are

At Corebridge Financial we believe action is everything. Thats why every day we partner with financial professionals and institutions to make it possible for more people to take action in their financial lives for today and tomorrow.

We align to a set of Values that are the core pillars that define our culture and help bring our brand purpose to life:

  • We are stronger as one: We collaborate across the enterprise scale what works and act decisively for our customers and partners.
  • We deliver on commitments: We are accountable empower each other and go above and beyond for our stakeholders.
  • We learn improve and innovate: We get better each day by challenging the status quo and equipping ourselves for the future.
  • We are inclusive: We embrace different perspectives enabling our colleagues to make an impact and bring their whole selves to work.

Who youll work with

Group: Balance Sheet Risk Management (BSRM)

Reports to: Head of Actuarial Strategy & Integration

About the role

Join BSRM as our hands-on Senior Predictive Liability Analytics Lead. Youll build next-gen short-term models of policyholder behavior starting with annuity surrenders withdrawals and utilization. Youll collaborate with other stakeholders such as financial planning ALM pricing valuation and capital as appropriate. This is a technical leadership role (not initially a people-manager or strategy role). Youll do the math write the code build models and mentor by example.

Responsibilities

Modeling & Innovation (hands-on)

  • Design predictive and semi-structural models with a short-term focus (performance focused on fitting the next 18-36 months) on long-horizon behavior (surrenders partial withdrawals lapse rider utilization) using GLMs/GAMs survival & hazard models (Cox discrete-time competing risks) tree ensembles (Boost/LightGBM/CatBoost) and deep learning choosing the most appropriate tool depending on the business problem.

  • Leverage unstructured data (contract text correspondence customer relationship notes call transcripts) via NLP/transformer embeddings RAG pipelines and LLM-assisted document parsing to create novel behavioral features within guardrails.

  • Pilot generative-AI (foundation models) for feature extraction/summarization; use genetic/evolutionary algorithms for feature selection architecture search or synthetic cohort generation when appropriate.

  • Make models scenario-aware: incorporate drivers like credited rate market rate spreads moneyness surrender charge state distribution channel effects; calibrate elasticity to economic conditions documented in industry studies.

Integration with actuarial / finance

  • Translate model outputs into curves/driver functions consumable by projection engines (e.g. Moodys AXIS Aon Pathwise Prophet RAFM or internal models); generate reproducible versioned results tables.

  • Share models with valuation/projection/ALM teams so behavior sensitivities can be considered alongside assumptions that normally flow through cash-flow projections LDTI assumption updates RBC/CTE stresses and hedge effectiveness studies.

  • Partner with valuation and pricing to reconcile actual vs. expected and attribute earnings/variance to behavior; document the model story and explainability for governance.

MLOps deployment & monitoring

  • Build training/scoring pipelines in Python/SQL on Databricks/Spark/Snowflake/AWS; track experiments with MLflow/DVC version in Git package with containers and serve via batch/API.

  • Stand up dashboards for calibration drift stability and bias; set retraining schedules fallback models rollback criteria and automated alerts.

Cross-functional enablement

  • Co-design experiments (A/B uplift causal inference) with Business Owners/Operations/Distribution to test interventions; when warranted explore contextual bandits/RL for offer timing and messaging.

  • Support Actuarial/Finance/Capital on scenario stress attribution and sensitivity runs; including helping to present results to model governance assumption committees and internal validation as needed.

Skills & Qualifications

  • Masters/PhD in Statistics Data Science/ML Applied Math Computer Science or Actuarial Science; FSA/ASA a plus (or equivalent domain depth).

  • Certifications in ML/AI (nice to have).

  • 710 years building production predictive models; insurance/annuity or long-duration liability exposure preferred.

  • Practical wins in behavior modeling (surrender/utilization/lapse) and integration

  • Comfortable spanning structured unstructured data and bridging to projection engines.

  • Clear concise communicator; strong documentation habits; bias to ship and iterate.

  • Mentors by example; sets standards for code quality reproducibility and testing.

  • Balances accuracy interpretability and operational simplicity under governance.

  • Collaborate within a highly matrixed organization.

  • Python (pandas NumPy scikit-learn XGBoost/LightGBM PyTorch/TensorFlow) SQL R

  • NLP/LLM: transformers/embeddings RAG prompt engineering; genetic/evolutionary search for features/hyper-params.

  • Databricks/Spark Snowflake AWS/Azure; MLflow model registries CI/CD; Tableau/Power BI for monitoring & storytelling.

  • Working familiarity with Actuarial platform (AXIS/Prophet/RAFM/etc.) integration patterns (assumption tables mapping layers).

Compensation

The anticipated salary range for this position is $190000 to $210000 at the commencement of employment. Not all candidates will be eligible for the upper end of the salary range. The actual compensation offered will ultimately be dependent on multiple factors which may include the candidates geographic location skills experience and other qualifications.

In addition the position is eligible for a discretionary bonus in accordance with the terms of the applicable incentive plan.

Corebridge also offers a range of competitive benefits as part of the total compensation package as detailed below.

Work Location

This position is based in Corebridge Financials Woodland Hills or New York office and is subject to our hybrid working policy which gives colleagues the benefits of working both in an office and remotely.

Estimated Travel

Minimal travel.

Why Corebridge

At Corebridge Financial we prioritize the health well-being and work-life balance of our employees. Our comprehensive benefits and wellness program is designed to support employees both personally and professionally ensuring that they have the resources and flexibility needed to thrive.

Benefit Offerings Include:

  • Health and Wellness: We offer a range of medical dental and vision insurance plans as well as mental health support and wellness initiatives to promote overall well-being.
  • Retirement Savings: We offer retirement benefits options which vary by location. In the U.S. our competitive 401(k) Plan offers a generous dollar-for-dollar Company matching contribution of up to 6% of eligible pay and a Company contribution equal to 3% of eligible pay (subject to annual IRS limits and Plan terms). These Company contributions vest immediately.
  • Employee Assistance Program: Confidential counseling services and resources are available to all employees.
  • Matching charitable donations: Corebridge matches donations to tax-exempt organizations 1:1 up to $5000.
  • Volunteer Time Off: Employees may use up to 16 volunteer hours annually to support activities that enhance and serve communities where employees live and work.
  • Paid Time Off: Eligible employees start off with at least 24 Paid Time Off (PTO) days so they can take time off for themselves and their families when they need it.


Eligibility for and participation in employer-sponsored benefit plans and Company programs will be subject to applicable law governing Plan document(s) and Company policy.

We are an Equal Opportunity Employer

Corebridge Financial is committed to being an equal opportunity employer and we comply with all applicable federal state and local fair employment laws. All applicants will be considered for employment based on job-related qualifications and without regard to race color religion sex gender gender identity or expression sexual orientation national origin disability neurodivergence age veteran status or any other protected characteristic. The Company is also committed to compliance with all fair employment practices regarding citizenship and immigration status. At Corebridge Financial we believe that diversity and inclusion are critical to building a creative workplace that leads to innovation growth and profitability. Through a wide variety of programs and initiatives we invest in each employee seeking to ensure that our colleagues are respected as individuals and valued for their unique perspectives.

Corebridge Financial is committed to working with and providing reasonable accommodations to job applicants and employees including any accommodations needed on the basis of physical or mental disabilities or sincerely held religious beliefs. If you believe you need a reasonable accommodation in order to search for a job opening or to complete any part of the application or hiring process please send an email to . Reasonable accommodations will be determined on a case-by-case basis in accordance with applicable federal state and local law.

We will consider for employment qualified applicants with criminal histories consistent with applicable law.

To learn more please visit:

Functional Area:

RK - Risk

Estimated Travel Percentage (%): Up to 25%

Relocation Provided: No

American General Life Insurance Company


Required Experience:

Senior IC

Who We AreAt Corebridge Financial we believe action is everything. Thats why every day we partner with financial professionals and institutions to make it possible for more people to take action in their financial lives for today and tomorrow.We align to a set of Values that are the core pillars tha...
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At Corebridge Financial, formerly AIG Retirement Services, we believe everyone deserves financial security. We work hard to make it possible for people to take action in their financial lives—because action is the bridge from planning to outcomes, from today’s financial needs to tomor ... View more

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