Demand and Supply Planner

Job Purpose

Lead end-to-end demand and supply planning. The role will support individual or multiple affiliates across Africa. Develop a customer demand forecast which incorporates current and accurate market information showing an unconstrained and constrained view. Develop share and execute a replenishment plan that ensures targeted cost efficiencies and customer service levels.

Key Responsibilities

Demand Forecasting:

• Collaborate with growth revenue consumer insights brand/marketing customers and sales teams to generate and maintain a 24-month rolling forecast with latest assumptions.
• Drive and lead accurate statistical and consensus forecasting covering both baseline and events planning.
• Apply error analysis techniques to improve forecasting update best fit statistical model to generate accurate base forecast.
• Coordinate cross-functional research activities to reconcile significant variances and refine the forecast model to reflect updated assumptions.
• Include a view of additional risks and opportunities and track monthly.
• Ensure monthly S&OP calendar planning related deadlines are strictly adhered to.

Supply Planning

• Initiate and lead the development of short and long-term supply plans to balance the demand forecast with cost efficiency and capacity constraints.
• Lead cross-functional monthly meetings with Brand Companies focussed forecasts planned ordering cycle and performance.
• Ensure shipment forecasts and stock orders are shared with suppliers.
• Ensure orders and deliveries are made in favourable time frames.
• Ensure that SLAs are adhered to both by Market Co and Brand Co.
• Provide feedback on supply risks in monthly S&OP.
• Drive sustainability and responsibility in supply chain activities.

Systems

• Refine systems and methods to continually improve forecasts to better anticipate customer and stock requirements.
• Utilize and maintain demand and supply management software.
• Enter and modify data and ensure the correctness of product master data.
• Support planning related projects system upgrades/transitions resolve any system integration and data interface issues that may impact planning activities.

Budget and Financial Forecasting

• Collaborate with Finance on conversion of volume forecasts to value.
• Product allocations Incorporate stock constraints and supplier allocations into demand and supply planning and assist commercial to better prioritise limited stock to maximise net sales and manage customer demand. Bi-annual review of allocation demand. Monthly allocations sales tracking to highlight monthly and annual risks.
• Ensure Replenishment is planned to budgeted inventory aligned with finance.

Business Performance Tracking & Improvement

• Cross functional collaboration to provide a qualitative and quantitative list of products to be delisted (80/20 principle) to ensure streamlining of the business portfolio.
• Cross functional collaboration to provide action plans to deplete slow moving stock.
• Analyse forecast accuracy and bias performance (weekly/daily/monthly) and unpacking market insights and various demand drivers with root cause analysis and corrective actions.
• Tracking and report NPI performance versus demand plan assumptions with corrective actions.
• Tracking and reporting of product changes and run in/out modelling.
• Report projected Inventory Cash valuations and DFC aligned to business targets with analysis on risk and opportunities.
• Track and report accuracy of replenishment plan with corrective actions to improve forecasts shared with suppliers.
• Flag potential out of stock risks with root cause and mitigation plans.
• Global KPI reporting to HQ with analysis and corrective actions

Job Requirements

Minimum Educational Requirements and Work Experience:

• Degree in Supply Chain Management or equivalent
• Experience in liquor or FMCG industry preferred.
• At least 4 years Experience in demand/forecast planning/with forecast tools and ERP systems (eg SAP JDE).
• Previous exposure on working with statistical forecast is a plus.
• Exposure to S&OP is a must.
• High Skill level - Microsoft Excel and PowerPoint

Behavioural Competencies:

Problem Solving Planning and Organizing Influencing Skills Building and Maintaining Collaborative Relationships Teamwork Commercial Awareness Quality Orientation Adaptability Attention to detail Accuracy.

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