Senior Trader Prediction Markets

We are seeking a highly analytical and technically strong Trader with deep expertise in prediction markets and real-time modeling. The ideal candidate combines strong trading intuition robust statistical and programming skills and the ability to translate ambiguous problems into structured high-quality models that drive profitable decision-making.

Key Responsibilities

• Design and develop complex models to generate real-time fair values for intricate uncertain domains (e.g. weather event-driven outcomes or probabilistic systems)
• Identify edge cases structural pitfalls and modeling risks proactively addressing them to ensure robustness and operational stability
• Assess data needs and sourcing strategies determining what inputs are required for accurate forecasting and collaborating with relevant teams to acquire them
• Build initial model prototypes in Python using libraries such as pandas and numpy and partner closely with developers to productionize these models for real-world trading
• Monitor validate and iterate on production models ensuring strong performance and continuously improving predictive accuracy and trading outcomes
• Identify evaluate and execute market-take opportunities arising from model insights and prediction-market dynamics
• Collaborate with engineering teams to optimize trading strategies enhance infrastructure and scale automated decision-making

• Strong understanding of trading concepts decision science and probabilistic reasoning
• Extensive experience with prediction markets including market structure pricing mechanics and liquidity dynamics
• Proficiency in Python with deep working knowledge of pandas and numpy
• Ability to think critically about uncertainty model assumptions and real-world edge cases
• Strong communication skills and the ability to work cross-functionally with traders developers and data teams

Whats In It For You

• Relaxed dress code (jeans and sneakers are the norm and team jerseys every Friday)
• Fully stocked kitchens for breakfast lunch snacks and beverages
• A 40000 square-foot state of the art fitness facility with brand-new equipment multi-purpose courts group exercise classes and locker room spaces
• Discounts for dining entertainment shopping travel and attractions
• Social events such as a poker tournament holiday party company outings and more
• On-site Wellness Center
• On-site services such as a mailroom barber dry cleaning and car maintenance
• Opportunities to give back to the community through Susquehanna sponsored events and donation drives

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